Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.160405 0.183723 0.210254 0.242890 0.282244 0.328538 0.387667
2025-04-27 0.126418 0.157069 0.195857 0.249485 0.323243 0.423502 0.574422
2025-05-04 0.105599 0.139151 0.185079 0.254572 0.360885 0.524373 0.810219
2025-05-11 0.092122 0.127105 0.178075 0.261141 0.400328 0.639396 1.121357
2025-05-18 0.081496 0.116641 0.170497 0.263853 0.433009 0.753786 1.493821
2025-05-25 0.073077 0.107835 0.163415 0.265028 0.462399 0.872456 1.951054
2025-06-01 0.065899 0.099764 0.155902 0.263368 0.485372 0.986867 2.484015
2025-06-08 0.059616 0.092223 0.147958 0.258992 0.501228 1.091917 3.083214
2025-06-15 0.056015 0.088669 0.146354 0.266382 0.544693 1.285902 4.182516
2025-06-22 0.051311 0.082607 0.139259 0.261058 0.557007 1.402167 5.138855
2025-06-29 0.048194 0.078999 0.136237 0.263755 0.590089 1.599217 6.774792
2025-07-06 0.044833 0.074573 0.131029 0.260573 0.606936 1.754747 8.502399
2025-07-13 0.042519 0.071919 0.129121 0.264970 0.647588 2.027525 11.714706
2025-07-20 0.040614 0.069852 0.128162 0.271571 0.697880 2.381558 16.890426
2025-07-27 0.038785 0.067741 0.126827 0.277010 0.747212 2.779805 24.634680
2025-08-03 0.037260 0.066073 0.126222 0.284256 0.806098 3.289558 37.852937
2025-08-10 0.035562 0.063886 0.124186 0.287257 0.851821 3.787218 56.872876
2025-08-17 0.033902 0.061625 0.121706 0.288560 0.892379 4.312644 86.176691
2025-08-24 0.032192 0.059109 0.118348 0.286709 0.920317 4.801019 128.113971
2025-08-31 0.030453 0.056390 0.114219 0.281835 0.934307 5.217415 184.934935
2025-09-07 0.029592 0.055488 0.114348 0.290066 1.010290 6.285443 372.430888
2025-09-14 0.028042 0.052961 0.110227 0.284135 1.018891 6.771068 576.015241
2025-09-21 0.027062 0.051616 0.108918 0.287139 1.073180 7.855889 1240.634601